Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.234349 1.516319 1.883803 2.415112 3.196044 4.362518 6.378582
2025-06-01 0.866261 1.165122 1.616114 2.404282 3.905882 7.136735 17.174453
2025-06-08 0.669123 0.947152 1.404509 2.307679 4.387648 10.570153 51.496278
2025-06-15 0.576377 0.851679 1.339721 2.419165 5.442535 18.955881 636.874090
2025-06-22 0.501555 0.763363 1.252646 2.430454 6.307139 32.763343 NaN
2025-06-29 0.439455 0.682600 1.154136 2.361660 6.877772 53.932120 NaN
2025-07-06 0.393555 0.622112 1.079910 2.319585 7.566068 100.543750 NaN
2025-07-13 0.373668 0.606163 1.094997 2.539488 10.096624 639.537595 NaN
2025-07-20 0.351136 0.580849 1.082176 2.671223 12.728429 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.325371 0.544982 1.035954 2.666862 14.533501 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.299295 0.505047 0.971745 2.567282 15.285839 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.283231 0.483963 0.950620 2.627803 18.480079 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.271158 0.470331 0.947367 2.772373 24.658597 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.255563 0.447277 0.914802 2.774349 29.090730 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.238289 0.418726 0.862336 2.658454 30.224187 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.229916 0.409067 0.860801 2.796355 42.278146 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.219137 0.392798 0.837417 2.810418 52.000949 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.207107 0.372559 0.799284 2.725577 56.148041 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.196942 0.355782 0.769074 2.673795 63.286011 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.194248 0.356101 0.790330 2.945444 127.081166 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.189331 0.350644 0.792848 3.109333 242.956119 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.181921 0.338529 0.772211 3.103894 348.894713 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.173236 0.322695 0.737468 2.979952 365.464909 NaN NaN